Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FET prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-20 0.311401 0.362239 0.418347 0.484809 0.561334 0.646631 0.748866
2025-04-27 0.238244 0.309576 0.396835 0.511157 0.656709 0.835541 1.071653
2025-05-04 0.195312 0.274725 0.379262 0.526352 0.727330 0.991617 1.364751
2025-05-11 0.163572 0.245622 0.360340 0.531455 0.779078 1.123083 1.635692
2025-05-18 0.138244 0.219833 0.340072 0.528765 0.815748 1.233756 1.886179
2025-05-25 0.117647 0.197059 0.319796 0.521423 0.842068 1.329278 2.121738
2025-06-01 0.101999 0.179211 0.303875 0.517411 0.871075 1.429469 2.372248
2025-06-08 0.086790 0.159562 0.282013 0.500203 0.875641 1.490108 2.564376
2025-06-15 0.082439 0.157785 0.289292 0.531922 0.963681 1.692957 3.007450
2025-06-22 0.071205 0.141951 0.270076 0.514909 0.965543 1.751118 3.210925
2025-06-29 0.061844 0.128202 0.252703 0.498714 0.966294 1.806195 3.412662
2025-07-06 0.054136 0.116516 0.237590 0.484617 0.968733 1.863474 3.622372
2025-07-13 0.049436 0.110386 0.232666 0.490069 1.009764 1.997168 3.990370
2025-07-20 0.047310 0.109363 0.237796 0.516186 1.094135 2.220907 4.552325
2025-07-27 0.044326 0.106029 0.237718 0.531504 1.158305 2.411537 5.067901
2025-08-03 0.040777 0.100893 0.233139 0.536654 1.201820 2.565044 5.523521
2025-08-10 0.037018 0.094699 0.225428 0.533939 1.228069 2.685462 5.921988
2025-08-17 0.033355 0.088184 0.216152 0.526528 1.243093 2.783595 6.282492
2025-08-24 0.030333 0.082795 0.208765 0.522479 1.264962 2.897882 6.687592
2025-08-31 0.026840 0.075677 0.196373 0.505109 1.254379 2.940431 6.939395
2025-09-07 0.026496 0.076777 0.204084 0.537125 1.362535 3.255816 7.828377
2025-09-14 0.023565 0.070446 0.192471 0.519953 1.351175 3.299619 8.102910
2025-09-21 0.021001 0.064739 0.181713 0.503606 1.339937 3.342350 8.378403